Sponsored by: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and co-hosted by North Carolina State University, RTI International, United States Department of Agriculture, Natural Resources Canada, University of Idaho, and SilvaCarbon
Meetings will be a mix of hybrid participation (meaning in-person and virtual participation) and in-person only, which is noted on each session in the agenda below. All in-person essions take place in the Plant Sciences Seminar Room located on the ground floor.
| Monday, March 4, 2024 |
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| 5:00 pm - 6:30 pm |
Registration | StateView Hotel |
| 6:30 pm - 8:00 pm |
Optional Meet-up | Flask and Beaker (In Stateview Hotel) |
Materials for Day 2:
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| Day 1: Tuesday, March 5, 2024 |
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| 7:00 am - 8:00 am |
Registration | Coastal AgroBusiness, Inc. Seminar Room Lobby (PSB)
Shuttle from Hotel to Plant Sciences Building
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| 8:00 am - 8:15 am |
Welcome and Workshop Overview (hybrid)
Organizing Committee |
| 8:15 am - 9:00 am |
Setting the stage (hybrid) |
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Role of AFOLU in Meeting Decarbonization Goals
Nicklas Forsell • International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
The Forum’s Origin Story and Evolution of Issues over Two Decades
Brian Murray • Interim Director of the Nicholas Institute for Energy, Environment & sustainability; Duke University
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 9:00 am - 10:30 am |
Session 1: Policy Perspectives (part 1) (hybrid) |
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Objective: Presenters will discuss recent efforts to address climate change issues in various policy settings and identify current and future status and modeling needs related to climate, energy, and land use policy issues.
Session Chairs: Sara Ohrel, Elizabeth Marshall, Nicolas Duval-Mace, Ron Sands, Marcela Olguin-Alvarez
Session Moderator: Sara Ohrel • US EPA
U.S.
Bill Hohenstein • Office of the Chief Economist, USDA
Shaun Ragnauth • Acting Branch Chief, Climate Change Division US EPA
Canada
Anne-Hélène Mathey • Executive Director, Environment & Climate Policy, Canadian Forest Service-Natural Resources Canada (virtual)
Nature Based Solutions in Mexico: Environmental Justice and Compliance
with National and International Mitigation Goals
Abraham Ortinez • General Mitigation Coordinator of the National Institute of Ecology and Climate Change (INECC) (virtual)
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 10:30 am - 11:00 am |
Break | Tenco Coffee Truck (10:00 am – noon) |
| 11:00 am - 12:25 pm |
Session 1: Policy Perspectives (part 2) (hybrid) |
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Capacity Building Needs and Recent Progress in Latin America, panel discussion
Session Moderator: Marcela Olguin-Alvarez • Climate Change Unit USFS – SilvaCarbon (confirmed)
Georgina Trujillo • National Forestry Corporation, Chile (confirmed, virtual)
Paul Melo • Ministry of Environment, Water and Ecological Transition, Ecuador
(confirmed, virtual)
Sandra Bravo • Transparency and NDCs Office for Latin America and the
Caribbean, UNEP (confirmed, virtual)
Kendal Blanco Salas • GHG Support Unit, UNFCCC (confirmed, virtual)
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 12:25 pm - 1:25 pm |
Lunch | On the Oval Food Hall, Food Trucks |
| 1:25 pm - 2:40 pm |
Session 2: Model (Methods) Comparison (in-person) |
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Objective: This session will focus on how to create “informative” multi-model comparisons and how to best use the results in the regulatory framework. By focusing on policy-relevant questions, this session will provide a platform for modelers to present current multi-model exercises and future development and for the users of the results (e.g., regulatory community) to discuss alternative options to explain variability and uncertainty across models’ results in framing future policy designs.
Session Chairs: Alice Favero, Liz Marshall, Jeff O’Hara
Session Moderator: Joe Shultz • Platform for Agriculture and Climate Transformation (PACT)
EPA Report: GHG Mitigation from the U.S. Forestry and Agriculture Sector
Sara Ohrel • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
EPA Model Comparison for Biofuels Analysis
Chris Ramig • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Model Comparisons: Informing Decision-Makers in an Uncertain Environment
Allen Fawcett • Joint Global Change Research Institute
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| 2:40 pm - 3:10 pm |
Break | Coffee hosted by RTI International |
| 3:10 pm - 4:40 pm |
Session 2: Model (Methods) Comparison (continued)
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Modeling the Benefits of Climate-Smart Practices with a Multi-Model Ensemble Approach
Bruno Basso • Michigan State University
Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP)
Terry Nipp • AgMIP
Alex Ruane • NASA/GISS (virtual)
Forest Model Intercomparison (ForMIP)
Adam Daigneault • University of Maine
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 4:40 pm - 5:30 pm |
Session 3: State of the Art Tools & Challenges (in-person)
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Objective: This session brings together diverse perspectives on the current policy environment, important trends, and the latest advances in forestry and agriculture modeling. Research application presentations will illustrate recent uses of forest and agriculture models to answer policy-relevant research questions
Session Chairs: Sara Ohrel, Elizabeth Marshall, Nicolas Duval-Mace
Session Moderator: Elizabeth Marshall • USDA
SYMFONI: the “System-of-Systems” Solution to Quantify Soil Carbon and GHG Outcomes for the Broad U.S. Croplands
Kaiyu Guan • University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (confirmed)
Large-Scale Biomass Supply for Carbon Sequestration: Trade-offs Across Agricultural Futures
Ron Sands • USDA-ERS
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 5:30 pm |
Day 1 wrap up, shuttles to hotel & eateries |
| 6:15 pm |
Optional Dinner Spot & Discussions | Transfer Co. Food Hall (500 E. Davie St.) |
| 6:00 pm - 9:00 pm |
Shuttle between Dinner and Hotel |
| Day 2: Wednesday, March 6, 2024 |
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| 7:00 am - 8:30 am |
Shuttle from Hotel to Plant Sciences Building |
| 8:00 am - 8:15 am |
Introduction to Day Two
Organizing Committee
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| 8:15 am - 10:00 am |
Session 3: State of the Art Tools & Challenges (continued) (in-person)
Session Moderator: Sara Ohrel • US EPA
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Reconciling Land Use CO2 Fluxes for Assessing Climate Progress
Giacomo Grassi • European Commission, Joint Research Centre (virtual)
Using Gridded Datasets to Improve Modeling of AR Costs, Forest Growth, and Forest Expansion in the Global South
Jeff Vincent • Duke Nicholas School of the Environment and Sanford School of Public Policy
Global-Local-Global Analysis of Systems Sustainability Network (GLASSNET)
Tom Hertel • Purdue University (virtual)
Best Practices and Challenges in the Life Cycle Assessment of Forest Products
Yuan Yao • Yale School of the Environment
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 10:00 am - 10:30 am |
Break | Tenco Coffee Truck (10:00 am – noon)
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| 10:30 am - 12:30 pm |
Session 4: Mitigation (Part 1) - Forestry (hybrid) |
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Objective: This panel session will focus on the types of greenhouse gas reduction opportunities that exist for forestry stakeholders in part 1 and agriculture in part 2, the barriers to getting markets for those opportunities off the ground, and how the modeling community can best represent the evolution of these markets in their analyses.
Session Chairs: Greg Latta, Robert Beach, Carolyn Smyth
Session Moderator: Carolyn Smyth • Canadian Forest Service
Considerations in Modeling Harvested Wood Product Mitigation Strategies
Greg Latta • University of Idaho
Carbon Impacts of Thinning and Future Wildfires
John Coulston • USFS
Mitigation Opportunities from Post-Fire Salvage
Carolyn Smyth • Canadian Forest Service
Global Climate and Policy Impacts on Forests
Brent Sohngen • Ohio State University
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 12:30 - 1:30 pm |
Lunch | On the Oval Food Hall, Food Trucks |
| 1:30 pm - 3:00 pm |
Session 4: Mitigation (Part 2) - Agriculture and Bioenergy (hybrid) |
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Session Moderator: Robert Beach • RTI International
Overview of the 2023 Billion-ton Report and the Roads to Removal Report: Biomass Carbon Removal and Storage (BICRS)
Matthew Langholtz • Oak Ridge National Laboratory
A Cross-Country Stock-Taking of GHG Emission Footprints in Major Agricultural Commodities
Jason Grant • Virgina Tech
GLOBIOM - Understanding Uncertainty in Market-Mediated Responses to US Oilseed Biodiesel Demand
Niklas Hinkel • International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 3:00 pm - 3:30 pm |
Break | Coffee hosted by RTI International |
| 3:30 pm - 5:00 pm |
Session 4: Mitigation (Part 3) - Private/Voluntary Approaches and Needs (in-person) |
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Objective: Explore options for voluntary actions and private-sector initiatives to effectively reduce greenhouse gas emissions and enhance carbon removals within the forest and agricultural sectors. Gain insights into additional data and modeling priorities for supporting and assessing these activities.
Session Chairs: Greg Latta, Robert Beach, Carolyn Smyth
Private Sector Land Sector Emissions Reduction Panel Discussion
Session Moderator: Greg Latta • University of Idaho
Martha Stevenson • Senior Director, Strategy & Research, Forests • WWF (confirmed)
Deborah Lawrence • Calyx Global
Spencer Plumb • Senior Manager, Forest Carbon Innovation • Verra
Rishi Das • Head of Forest Carbon Ratings • BeZero (confirmed)
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| 5:00 pm |
Day 2 wrap up & shuttles to hotel & eateries |
| 6:00 pm |
Optional Spot for Dinner & Discussion | Morgan Street Food Hall (411 W. Morgan St.) |
| 6:00 pm 9:00 pm |
Shuttle between Dinner and Hotel |
| Day 3: Thursday, March 7, 2024 |
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| 7:00 am - 8:00 am |
Breakfast and shuttles to Plant Sciences Building |
| 8:00 am - 8:15 am |
Introduction to Day Three
Organizing Committee
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| 8:15 am - 10:00 am |
Session 5: Carbon Plus (in-person) |
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Objective: While the focus on the Forum has traditionally been the application of models to project GHG emissions and carbon sequestration from the land sectors, these models have broad applicability to other pressing societal challenges. The purpose of this session is to present recent advances in modeling to capture the interactions between GHG emissions and carbon sequestration potential from the land use sectors and other policy objectives that could affect land management and related markets. Presentations in this session will highlight state-of-the art modeling to explore interactions, synergies, and tradeoffs between land sector abatement and other policy objectives that align with the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals, including enhanced food security and nutrition, water system sustainability, nutrient management, and biodiversity protection. Presentations will offer new insight into scale dependencies in systems modeling, potential interactions between policy goals, and policy design considerations.
Session Chairs: Justin Baker, Sara Ohrel
Session Moderator: Alice Favero • RTI International
Recent GCAM Efforts for Decarbonization-Related Agriculture and Land Use Modeling
Maridee Weber • Joint Global Change Research Institute
The Food, Agriculture, Biodiversity, Land Use and bioEnergy (FABLE) Consortium: Reconciling sustainable land use pathways across national and global scales
Aline Mosnier • UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network (virtual)
Sustainable Phosphorus Futures and Tradeoffs Across C, N, and P Policy Objectives – Global-to-Regional Scale Considerations
Justin Baker • NC State University
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 10:00 am - 10:30 am |
Break | Tenco Coffee Truck (10:00 am – noon)
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| 10:30 am - 11:30 am |
Session 5: Carbon Plus (Continued) (hybrid) |
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Tradeoffs and Synergies Between Healthier Diet Transitions, Alternative Proteins,and GHG Policy
Mario Herrero • Cornell University
Global Impacts from Land-Based Mitigation in the UK
Alla Golub • Purdue University (virtual)
Comments & Group Discussion
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| 11:30 am - 12:00 pm |
Wrap up Discussion - Workshop Review & Conclusion |
| Departure times TBD per participant needs |
Shuttle departs for RDU Airport (scheduled from 12:00pm – 2:30pm) |